Strategic Accounts of Judging

Authored by: Lee Epstein , Jack Knight

Routledge Handbook of Judicial Behavior

Print publication date:  October  2017
Online publication date:  October  2017

Print ISBN: 9781138913356
eBook ISBN: 9781315691527
Adobe ISBN:




We revisit our book The Choices Justices Make, in which we proposed a strategic account of judicial behavior. After fleshing out our argument and outlining related ideas that other scholars have developed, we offer two thoughts we did not express (or did not express clearly enough) in Choices but wish we had: (1) on the preferences of judges and (2) and on the limits of strategic rationality. Both provide avenues for future research.

 Add to shortlist  Cite

Strategic Accounts of Judging

Two decades ago, in The Choices Justices Make, we proposed a strategic account of judicial behavior (Epstein and Knight 1998). On this account, judges are strategic actors who realize that their ability to achieve their goals depends on the preferences of other actors, the choices they expect others to make, and the institutional context in which they act.

In what directly follows, we flesh out what we said in Choices (section 1) and what others have said since (section 2). In section 3, we offer to two thoughts we did not express (or did not express clearly enough) in Choices but wish we had: (1) on the preferences of judges and (2) and on the limits of strategic rationality. Both provide avenues for future research.

What We Said in Choices

Strategic accounts of judging contain three essential components: (1) judges’ actions are directed toward the attainment of goals; (2) judges are strategic or interdependent decision makers, meaning they realize that to achieve their goals, they must consider the preferences and likely actions of other relevant actors; and (3) institutions structure judges’ interactions with these other actors. Each deserves a bit of explanation.

Starting with (1), strategic accounts assume that actors make decisions consistent with their goals and interests. We say that judges or any other actors make rational decisions when they choose a course of action that they believe satisfies their desires most efficiently. To give meaning to this assumption—essentially, that judges maximize their preferences—we must identify the judges’ goals. If we do not, our explanations become a tautology, because we can always claim that a judge’s goal is to do exactly what we observe her doing (Ordeshook 1992).

Unlike the attitudinal model, which holds that judges (really just justices of the U.S. Supreme Court) pursue policy goals and only policy goals (Segal and Spaeth 2002), strategic accounts enable researchers to posit any motivations they believe judges hold. This much we noted in Choices, but we then went on to adopt the conventional (political science) party line and argue that maximizing policy is of paramount, even exclusive, concern. 1

We were wrong—or at least partially so. Although it may be true that Supreme Court justices are “likely to derive personal satisfaction, as well as reap prestige, exert power and influence, and achieve celebrity, from attempting to align the law with his ideological commitments” (Epstein, Landes, and Posner 2013, 103) the policy goal is hardly the only one; it may not even be dominant for many judges. We explain why we have had this change of heart and, more importantly, how scholars can—and must—begin incorporating other motivations into their work, in section 3 below.

The second part of the strategic account is tied to the first: for judges to maximize their preferences, they must act strategically. By “strategic,” we mean that judicial behavior is interdependent: Judges’ actions are, in part, a function of their expectations about the actions of others. To say that a judge acts strategically is to say that she realizes that her success depends on the preferences of other relevant actors and the actions she expects them to take, not just on her own preferences and actions. On strategic accounts of judicial behavior, “other relevant actors” include the judges’ colleagues (if she sits on a collegial court) of course, but also her judicial superiors (if she serves on a non-apex court), elected officials, and even the public—in other words, anyone in a position to help her achieve or thwart her goals.

This component of the strategic account too is in direct juxtaposition to the attitudinal model, which holds that justices always behave in accord with their sincere preferences. Under the strategic account, whether judges behave sincerely or in a sophisticated fashion (that is, in a way that is not compatible with their most preferred position) depends on the preferences of the other relevant actors and the actions they are likely to take.

Finally, strategic accounts assume that judging takes place within a complex institutional framework. By institutions we mean sets of rules that structure the judges’ interactions among themselves or with other relevant actors and, in so doing, might ultimately constrain them from acting on their sincere policy preferences. As we noted in Choices, institutions can be formal, such as constitutional provisions, or informal, such as norms and conventions (Knight 1992). Either way, institutions can be internal to the court—for example, the Supreme Court’s Rule of 4, which establishes that four justices must agree to hear a case, or the norm governing opinion assignment, which holds that the Chief Justice assigns the opinion of the Court if he is in the majority. Institutions can also be external, governing the relations between higher and lower courts (the hierarchy of justice), between courts and other governmental actors (the separation-of-powers system), and with the American people (norms of legitimacy).

Strategic analysis’ emphasis on the role of internal and external institutions in structuring interactions and constraining judges is another feature that differentiates strategic accounts from the attitudinal model. Under the attitudinal model, institutions are relevant only to the extent that they (can) enable judges (justices) to vote their sincere policy preferences (e.g., because federal judges have life tenure, they need not take into account the views of the public when they make their decisions). Strategic accounts argue that judges must attend to the rules if they wish to issue efficacious decisions.

What Others Have Said Since Choices

Taken as a whole, we hoped the strategic account would provide a unifying framework—a set of tools—for the analysis of the range of judicial behavior. We tried to demonstrate as much by looking at the many choices that Supreme Court justices make, from deciding to decide, to assigning opinions, to manipulating the agenda, to joining and writing opinions, among others.

Even so, we knew when we wrote Choices that we had hardly scratched the surface. We trusted that follow-up work would take up the many topics we did not touch, whether for high court justices in the United States or abroad or for judges serving on courts with judicial superiors. We also imagined scholars would proceed in multiple ways, whether by incorporating the logic of strategic action into interpretive-historical research, invoking the strategic account to construct conceptions of judicial decision making, using micro-economic theories to reason by analogy, or undertaking formal equilibrium analysis. And we had hoped that subsequent work would use a variety of methods from historical case studies to large-N quantitative research, whether for particular courts or cross-nationally (see Epstein and Knight 2000).

We were not disappointed. To the contrary: Even a cursory review of all the many excellent studies invoking strategic accounts would fill up this entire volume.

And we will not even try. 2 What we can say is that there are now very well-developed literatures on both the (1) internal (relations among colleagues) and (2) external (relations with other actors) dimensions of judging.

Internal Accounts

It may not have been our exclusive (empirical) focus in Choices, but we did devote substantial space to internal accounts of judging, with our opening discussion of Craig v. Boren (1976) setting the tone. Subsequent studies have advanced the project in countless ways, some by finding evidence of strategic behavior in areas that were not on our radar screen—for example, during oral arguments. From the many studies on this topic (e.g., Epstein, Landes, and Posner 2013; Johnson 2004; Ringsmuth and Johnson 2013; Black, Sorenson, and Johnson 2013), we have learned that oral arguments involve important interactions between the justices and the lawyers, as well as among the justices themselves, and that information communicated during these interactions can strategically influence the justices’ decisions.

Other studies have analyzed behavior we took up in Choices, including bargaining (e.g., Lax and Cameron 2007; Lax and Rader 2015; Spriggs et al. 1999), forward thinking (e.g., Black and Owens 2009; Benesh, Brenner, and Spaeth 2002; Caldeira, Wright, and Zorn 1999), agenda manipulation (e.g., Black, Schutte, and Johnson 2013; Epstein and Shvetsova 2002; Goelzhauser 2011; Staudt 2004; Johnson, Spriggs, and Wahlbeck 2005), opinion assignment (Farhang, Kastellec, and Wawro 2015; Lazarus 2015; Maltzman, Spriggs, and Wahlbeck 2000; Wahlbeck 2006, Maltzman and Wahlbeck 1996), and opinion writing (Owens, Wedeking, and Wohlfarth 2013, Maltzman, Spriggs, and Wahlbeck 2000), among others.

But even this follow-up 3 research pushed the boundaries well beyond Choices. Take opinion writing. We focused on the extent to which opinion writers would put aside their most preferred positions to generate a definitive ruling of the Court—one that represented the best they felt they could achieve under the circumstances. In other words, in Choices strategic opinion writing relates to the internal context of judging. In a very important (likely classic) paper, Staton and Vanberg (2008) also analyze opinions, but they are less concerned with opinion writers grappling with colleagues than with the external context of judging. They want to know why judges sometimes write vague opinions when the judges could be more decisive. The result they derive is interesting: Assuming the costs to political actors (or other implementers) of deviating from a clear court decision are higher than the costs of deviating from a vague decision (because noncompliance is easier to detect), then a court facing “friendly” implementers will write clear opinions. Clarity increases pressure for—and thus the likelihood of—compliance. But when the probability of opposition from implementers is high, clarity could be costly to the judges; if policy makers are determined to defy even a crystal-clear decision, they would highlight the relative lack of judicial power. To soften anticipated resistance, courts may be purposefully vague.

Staton and Vanberg provide several examples of their theory in action (e.g., Brown v. Board of Education (Brown II) (1955)), but more systematic follow-ups now exist. Black et al. (2016) show that justices strategically craft language in their opinions, adjusting the level of clarity to correspond to their assessment of the likelihood of noncompliance by external actors, including federal agencies and the states. Corley and Wedeking (2014) find that lower courts are more likely to follow Supreme Court decisions that are written at higher degrees of certainty. And there is also work on how lower court judges write opinions to insulate themselves from reversal (Boyd 2015a; Hinkle 2016; Hinkle et al. 2012; Smith and Tiller 2002). 4 In addition to serving as an antidote to the long-suffering study of judicial implementation and compliance, this new line of work on opinion writing provides a link between the internal and external contexts of judging.

We could say the same of research focusing on the hierarchy of justice. A growing literature shows that trial court judges alter their behavior to avoid reversal by intermediate appellate courts (e.g., Boyd 2015b; Randazzo 2008; Epstein, Landes, and Posner 2013). And there are even more studies of the U.S. Courts of Appeals. These tend to focus on “panel,” “collegial,” or “peer” effects, asking whether the case’s outcome (or a judge’s vote) would have been different had a single judge, and not a panel, decided the case (Kastellec 2007)—and, if so, why? This first question motivates much of Choices; it is the second question, the why, that takes a different form in this literature, because circuit judges must attend not only to the preferences of their fellow panel members but also to the preferences and likely actions of their hierarchical superiors (the circuit en banc or the Supreme Court). At least that is Cross and Tiller’s (1998) argument in their path-marking paper, “Judicial Partisanship and Obedience to Legal Doctrine.” They contend that the presence of a “whistleblower”—a judge on a circuit panel “whose policy preferences differ from the majority’s and who will expose the majority’s manipulation or disregard of the applicable legal doctrine” to a higher court—can constrain her colleagues from behaving in accord with their sincere preferences.

Some studies find evidence of this phenomenon while bringing more nuance to it (e.g., Kastellec 2007, 2011; Beim et al. 2016); others offer different explanations for moderation among judges serving on an ideologically mixed panel. Epstein, Landes, and Posner (2013), for example, argue that moderation (in the form of dissent aversion) on circuit courts reflects the substantial collegiality costs that dissents impose on the other judges on the panel (e.g., more work), while the benefits of dissenting (e.g., future citations) are few—though more recent studies (Beim et al. 2016; Lindquist et al. 2007; Black and Owens 2012) suggest that the benefits may be more substantial than Epstein, Landes, and Posner posited.

A related literature, and again one that we did not touch in Choices, focuses on how a hierarchically superior court can extract conformity from a subordinate court with different preferences. To the extent that higher courts (or at least the U.S. Supreme Court) cannot hire, fire, promote, demote, financially reward, or penalize members of trial or intermediate courts, work has proposed various mechanisms for keeping lower courts honest, including strategic auditing (e.g., Spitzer and Talley 2000; Cameron, Segal, and Songer 2000), implicit tournaments among lower courts (e.g., McNollgast 1995), en banc review (Clark 2009b; Giles, et al. 2006; 2007), and of course whistleblowers in the form of dissenters (Lindquist, Haire, and Songer 2007; Black and Owens 2012).

This recent spate of research on the judicial hierarchy goes to show that scholars of judicial behavior are no longer giving pride of place to the U.S. Supreme Court; the array of courts that has gained attention from the research community has expanded exponentially. This is all to the good because in the lower courts strategic decision making and institutional rules come into stark interaction: As the judges face more intricate institutional constraints, their choices grow in complexity. We have much to learn from the study of this interaction.

External Accounts

Research exploring relations between courts and actors external to courts—government officials and the public—has also exploded in ways we never could have imagined. Beginning with the government, Choices drew on the then-emerging separation-of-powers literature, which contended that judges must attend to the preferences and likely actions of the government if they are to achieve their policy goals (e.g., Eskridge 1991; Ferejohn and Weingast 1992; Gely and Spiller 1990). If they do not, they run the risk of retaliation from elected actors, thereby making it difficult for them to establish enduring policy. Most of the empirical work back then assessed this claim in statutory interpretation cases on the theory that when federal judges interpret statutes, Congress can (easily) override their interpretations by enacting new laws. The empirical results were mixed, and debates (apparently) continue (e.g., compare Bergara, Richman, and Spiller 2003; Spiller and Gely 1992; Eskridge 1991 and Sala and Spriggs 2004; Segal 1997).

In Choices and elsewhere (Epstein, Knight, and Martin 2001), we extended the argument to cases involving constitutional interpretation. Our contention was (and still is) that although Congress cannot pass legislation to overturn decisions grounded in the Constitution, 5 it can take aim at courts in other ways: withdrawing their jurisdiction, eradicating judicial review, approving constitutional amendments to overturn decisions, slashing the court’s budget, and impeaching judges (Rosenberg 1992). As a result, we speculated (but only partially tested the idea) that the Court must be equally if not more vigilant in attending to the preferences of elected actors in constitutional cases.

Subsequent work has shown this to be a promising hypothesis. From Clark’s (2009a) important study, we know that congressional threats are not merely theoretical: Members of Congress introduced more than 900 court-curbing proposals between 1877 and 2008. More to the point, Clark’s work, along with an equally important article by Segal et al. (2011), demonstrates that when Congress threatens the Supreme Court’s authority, the Court cowers, either exercising greater judicial self-restraint or reaching decisions closer to congressional preferences. Related research also suggests that under certain circumstances, the Court will duck constitutional cases (Goelzhauser 2011).

These studies focus on the United States. We hope this work continues, but even more exciting to us, frankly, is the comparative turn in the analysis of court-government relations. In Choices, we did not say much (read: nothing) about apex courts in other societies, though we quickly remedied this with a study of the Russian Constitutional Court (Epstein, Knight and Shetsova 2002). Far more famous—and largely responsible for the cascade of rigorous comparative studies of court-government relations—is Helmke’s (2002, 2005) work on Argentina. Helmke drew attention to the fact that in many parts of the developing world, governments have taken even more radical steps to tame their courts, with sanctions ranging from impeachment, removal, and court-packing to criminal indictment, physical violence, and even death. 6 Her study and many others running along similar lines show that judges respond to these potential threats by defecting against the old regime (Helmke 2002, 2005), avoiding cases that may contribute to further escalation (Epstein, Knight, and Shvetsova 2002), going public (Gauri et al. 2015; Staton 2010), and passing up posts on apex courts altogether (Basabe-Serrano 2012), among other strategies.

This line of literature on the external context of judging highlights the importance of separation-of-powers systems. In Choices we extended the discussion to consider the relationship between courts and the American people, which we said was governed by legitimacy norms, notably stare decisis (the norm favoring respect for precedent) (see also Knight and Epstein 1996). Since Choices, the strategic analysis of precedent has moved in interesting directions that we did not anticipate, including the ways lawyers use it in their briefs (Corley 2008) and the conditions under which the Court may depart from it (Hansford and Spriggs 2008; Epstein, Landes, and Liptak 2015).

The same holds for research on the extent to which the public constrains judicial decisions. Using qualitative data and historical methods, Friedman (2009) provides an unequivocal answer to the question of whether “we the people” influence the Supreme Court: we do. Many large-N studies agree (e.g., Giles et al. 2008; McGuire and Stimson 2004; Mishler and Sheehan 1996). At the risk of generalizing, they tend to find that when the “mood of the public” is liberal (conservative), the Court is significantly more likely to issue liberal (conservative) decisions.

But why is the real question. Friedman offers a response straight out of the strategic literature: the Justices bend to the will of the people because the Court requires public support to remain an efficacious branch of government. We agree with his response, and the existing quantitative studies could be read to lend support to this view. But even we must admit that the findings are consistent with another mechanism: that “the people” include the justices. On this account, the justices do not respond to public opinion directly but rather respond to the same events or forces that affect the opinions of other members of the public. 7 To quote Cardozo (1921, 168), “[t]he great tides and currents which engulf the rest of men do not turn aside in their course and pass the judges by.” 8 The evidence up to this point lends support to both of these explanations.

What We Did Not Say in Choices but Wish We Had: Avenues for Future Research

It should go without saying but we will say it anyway: We are thrilled by the now-vast literature that attends to the strategic dimensions of judging. And we know that many more great studies are to come. Some will continue to use strategic accounts to analyze the internal and external contexts of judging in courts in the United States and abroad. Others, we hope, will take up some of the lapses in Choices, with two especially noticeable: one on the preferences of judges and the other on the limits of strategic rationality. Both have the potential to open important new lines of inquiry, though we hope the latter does not have the effect of raining too much on the strategic parade.

Reconsidering Judicial Preferences

What do judges want? Beginning with C. Herman Pritchett (1941, 1948), political scientists have emphasized the policy goal, or the idea that judges want to bring the law in line with their own policy or ideological values (see note 1). And we, in Choices, followed the party line, as we noted at the outset.

Because Choices analyzed the behavior of Supreme Court justices, we do not think we were terribly wrong to focus on this one objective. From Pritchett (1941) to Segal and Spaeth (2002) to Epstein, Landes, and Posner (2013), scholars have offered plausible (although somewhat distinct) reasons and mounds of data for thinking that ideology plays a very substantial role in the choices justices make.

It is also worth pointing out that justices of the Supreme Court are not unique. Studies of the high courts of other countries lend support to this focus. Grendstad et al.’s (2015) wonderful book on the Norwegian Supreme Court demonstrates that justices appointed by social democratic governments are significantly more likely to find for the litigant pursuing a “public economic interest” than are their nonsocialist counterparts. Ideology (as measured by the appointing regime) plays a bigger role in these decisions than most any other factor that Grendstad et al. considered. Hönnige (2009) found that ideology helps predict the votes of judges serving on the French and German Supreme Courts (see also Hanretty 2012). And, in their study of Spanish Constitutional Court Judges, Garoupa et al. (2013, 516) discovered that under certain conditions, “[t]he personal ideology of the judges does matter,” which led them to “reject the formalist approach taken by traditional constitutional law scholars in Spain.” Iaryczower and Katz (2015) found that ideology plays a role on the British Appellate Committee, though their account is more nuanced. 9

At the same time, though, these studies demonstrate that ideological (or partisan) motivations have their limits—and not only for judges outside the United States. As so much research as shown, there is hardly a perfect correlation between ideology and voting: Far short of zero percent of the votes cast by liberal justices (however measured) are conservative; and far short of one hundred percent of the conservatives’ votes are conservative (see even Segal and Spaeth 2002). Moreover, once we move down the judicial hierarchy to the U.S. Courts of Appeals and district courts, ideology carries even less weight (see, e.g., Epstein, Landes, and Posner 2013).

The upshot is this: however useful ideology is for understanding judicial behavior, it cannot be the only motivation (it may not even be especially weighty for many judges) or explanation of judicial behavior. 10 For this reason, contemporary studies have offered (or found evidence consistent with) some twenty-odd goals, motives, and preferences, ranging from “reasoning utility” (Drahozal 1998; Shapiro and Levy 1995) to discretion (Cohen 1991; Higgins and Rubin 1980; Macey 1994) to income (Anderson et al. 1989), in addition to legal and ideological considerations (see generally Baum 1997, 2006; for a sampling of other goals, see Klein 2002; Bainbridge and Gulati 2002; Cooter 1983; Gulati and McCauliff 1998; Klein and Hume 2003; Miceli and Cosgel 1994; Posner 1993, 2008, 2013; Salzberger and Fenn 1999; Schauer 2000; Shepherd 2011; Whitman 2000).

Attending to all these goals would undermine the project of developing generalizable explanations of judicial behavior. More to the point, it is possible to construct a realistic conception of the judicial motivation that could be incorporated into strategic accounts of judging without devolving into the “what-the-judge-ate-for-breakfast” morass. 11

Epstein, Landes, and Posner (2013) make such an effort by introducing the importance of personal motivations for judicial choice, while also paying heed to the political scientists’ emphasis on ideology and the law community’s interest in legal motivations (though political scientists seem more interested in “legal motivations” than lawyers!). They argue that given time constraints, judges seek to maximize their preferences over a set of roughly five personal factors (most of which also have implications for ideological and legal goals):

  1. Job satisfaction, which we take to mean the internal satisfaction of feeling that one is doing a good job, as well as the more social dimensions of judicial work, such as relations with other judges, clerks, and staff (see Baum 2006; Caldeira 1977; Drahozal 1998; Gulati and McCauliff 1998; Shapiro and Levy 1995).
  2. External satisfactions that come from being a judge, including reputation, prestige, power, influence, and celebrity (see Drahozal 1998; Miceli and Cosgel 1994; Schauer 2000; Shapiro and Levy 1995; Whitman 2000).
  3. Leisure, such that at some point “the opportunity cost of foregone leisure exceeds the benefits to the judge of additional time spent making decisions” Drahozal (1998, 476; see also Klein and Hume 2003).
  4. Salary/income, in that all else being equal, judges, like most of us, prefer more salary, income, and personal comfort to less (see, e.g., Baum 2006). 12
  5. Promotion.

We flesh out these possibilities in Epstein and Knight (2013), but let us provide a flavor of the analysis by focusing on the last motivation: promotion. This would seem to be an important factor influencing the personal utility that judges gain from their work. It could be coincident with policy preferences: the higher judges sit in the hierarchy, the more important the cases they hear and the greater the opportunity to influence the law. Promotion also tends to increase job satisfaction, prestige and reputation, and, of course, salary.

To explore the possible effects of this motivation, Epstein, Landes, and Posner (2013) compared federal judges with some realistic possibility of promotion to those without much hope of promotion to determine whether the former “audition” for their next job. They hypothesized that these auditioners would impose harsher sentences on criminal defendants to avoid being tagged as soft on crime. The data supported their hypothesis.

These results, along with other studies of promotion effects (e.g., Cohen 1991; Sisk et al. 1998; Taha 2004; Gaille 1997; Ramseyer and Rasmussen 2001; Salzberger and Fenn 1999; Black and Owens 2016), do more than flesh out a particular element in the judge’s personal utility function. They pose a serious challenge to the standard political science line that judges are driven largely, if not exclusively, by ideology—and unless we incorporate them into strategic accounts of judging, we run the risk of perpetuating (un)realist(ic) conceptions of judicial behavior.

In Epstein and Knight (2013) we offer a conceptual and methodological framework for incorporating these additional motivations into a strategic account. This more realistic conception introduces a set of research questions about the relative effects of different types of motivations as well as about the conditions under which judges strike a balance among the different, and sometimes competing, motivations. For example, what are the types of cases in which judges are motivated by ideological values? And what are the conditions under which judges are most affected by the personal factors we detailed above—the factors that motivate most of us in our daily lives? Of equal importance, what are the types of cases in which judges are most likely to follow traditional legal methods? Future research on these questions could lead to more direct explanations of the effects of these different motivations on judicial decisions in particular kinds of cases.

Rethinking Strategic Rationality

As we noted earlier, strategic accounts assume that the judge “is a rational maximizer of his ends in life, his satisfactions … his ‘self-interest’” (Posner 2011, 3). Our own view is that this is a reasonable assumption, or at least it gets us pretty far in understanding judicial behavior. But it will not get us all the way. It is just too late in the day to question the decades’ worth of studies showing that in many situations, people rely heavily on their intuitions to make fast decisions without much effort. Social psychologists tell us that these responses are not always wrong or even unhelpful (Wistrich, et al. 2015). But we also know that unchecked by deliberative assessments, they can lead to mistakes and biased decisions (Thaler 2015; Kahneman 2011).

Although judges may think they can “suppress or convert” their intuitions, prejudices, sympathies, and the like into rational decisions (Wistrich et al. 2015, 862), this is not so. Experiments conducted on thousands of judges by Rachlinski et al. (2015) demonstrate that judges respond more favorably to litigants they like or with whom they sympathize (e.g., Wistrich et al. 2015), are affected by anchors in making numeric estimates (e.g., Rachlinski et al. 2015), and fall prey to hindsight bias when assessing probable cause (e.g., Rachlinski et al. 2015). In short, it turns out that judges are human too (see also Rachlinski et al. 2009; Rachlinski et al. 2011; Guthrie et al. 2001; Guthrie et al. 2007, along with work by Braman 2009; Landsman and Rakos 1994; Simon and Scurich 2013).

To the extent that judges are influenced by their emotions, intuitions and prejudices, it will complicate their ability to make strategically rational decisions. And this, in turns, complicates our efforts to explain their behavior. There is no getting around the fact that these very human features can distort purely strategic decision making. The interesting research questions relate to how much they alter what we would expect to see if we assume that judges are acting rationally. Possible avenues for relevant research would compare the predictions of strategic analysis with the data on actual judicial decisions. This would give us a better sense of the extent to which these non-rational factors influence the judges’ choices.

As we hope even this brief discussion makes clear, we take the experimental evidence quite seriously. But some members of the legal community (especially judges) do not; they complain that the experiments are artificial and do not really capture the real courtroom environment. This counsels for observational studies—that is, studies making use of data that the world, not the researchers, have created. These are not easy to do, but neither are they impossible, as Shayo and Zussman’s (2011) study of Israeli small claims courts demonstrates. More to the point, we think they are crucial: should the experimental and the observational converge, we can be far more confident in our conclusions.


This chapter draws on some of our other work on judicial behavior, including Epstein and Knight 1998, Epstein and Knight 2013, and Epstein 2016. Epstein thanks the National Science Foundation, the John Simon Guggenheim Foundation, and Washington University in St. Louis for supporting her research on law, legal institutions, and judicial behavior.

The idea here is that judges want the law to reflect their preferred policy positions. To assess empirically the judges’ policy positions, political scientists use partisan measures (e.g., the party affiliation of the judge or the appointing president) and ideological measures (e.g., the Segal-Cover [1989] or Martin-Quinn [2002] scores). For a review, see Epstein et al. (2012). As a result, the political science literature tends to treat political goals, policy goals, ideological goals, and partisan goals as interchangeable terms.

For recent, though short, reviews, see Epstein 2013, 2016.

And, in fact, because we were not the first to write in some of these areas, Choices could be considered a follow-up study. On forward thinking, see Boucher and Segal (1995); Perry 1991. On agenda manipulation, see Rathjen and Spaeth (1979, 1983). More generally, see Murphy (1964).

Although we endorse this general line of work, we withhold judgment about Linguistic Inquiry and Word (LIWC), the software that some of the authors use to assess clarity. Because it was developed for ordinary speech and texts, we wonder whether it has been sufficiently validated for legal materials.

At least not in theory. In practice, the U.S. Congress has enacted over forty statutes designed to reverse Supreme Court decisions that invalidated federal or state laws (Meernik and Ignagni 1997).

There are also of course many excellent studies of courts in developed democracies, notably Vanberg’s (2005) work on the German Constitutional Court, perhaps the most influential national court in Europe. Vanberg takes on questions that now dominate commentary and scholarship not only about courts in Europe but throughout the world, including whether “the potential for evasion” of court decisions by the elected branches and the public “shape[s] judicial deliberations and perhaps even decisions” and “[u]nder what circumstances [courts can] successfully constrain legislative majorities, and when will they not do so” (8). We hope the work continues.

That’s why Epstein and Martin (2010) titled their paper (written for a symposium on Friedman’s book) “Does Public Opinion Influence the Supreme Court? Possibly Yes (But We’re Not Sure Why).” For a possible answer (supportive of Friedman’s argument), see Casillas et al. (2011).

The same problem of behavioral equivalence arises in work on macro-events, such as war: do judges strategically retreat from war-related cases (or otherwise rubber stamp the government), or are they also swept up in rally-round-the-flag effects?

Ideology, they show, establishes “an informational hurdle for judges to rule in a certain direction… . A judge leaning liberal (or conservative) will vote against his bias if the information based on the facts and on how the law applies to the case under consideration surpasses the threshold imposed by his preferences” (62–63).

We adopt some of this discussion from Epstein and Knight (2013) and Epstein (2016).

Then again, see Danziger et al. (2011), showing that judges are more lenient at the beginning of the work day and after a food break, though Weinshall-Margel and Shapard (2011) cast doubt on their findings.

The empirical literature provides some evidence that they attempt to maximize pecuniary goals by acting in ways consistent with the preferences of their “bosses”—of which the legislature is certainly one. Because elected representatives control raises, court budgets (and thus, for example, can augment or reduce the number of staff), and pension plans, it is not surprising to find some deference to their preferences (e.g., Bergara et al. 2003; Harvey & Friedman 2006; Segal et al. 2011). But, again, the mechanism is not always clear. It could be that deference is primarily a function of the legislature’s power to hold salaries constant or impose other pecuniary sanctions (or rewards), or it could be that the judges are responding to a multitude of other weapons, which we noted earlier, at the legislature’s disposal.


Anderson, Gary M. , William Shughart , and Robert Tollison . 1989. “On the Incentives of Judges to Enforce Legislative Wealth Transfers.” Journal of Law and Economics 32: 215–228.
Bainbridge, Stephen M. and G. Mitu Gulati . 2002. “How Do Judges Maximize? (The Same Way Everyone Else Does—Boundedly): Rules of Thumb in Securities Fraud Opinions.” Emory Law Journal 51: 83–151.
Basabe-Serrano, Santiago . 2012. “Judges Without Robes and Judicial Voting in Contexts of Institutional Instability: The Case of Ecuador’s Constitutional Court, 1999–2007.” Journal of Latin American Studies 44: 127–161.
Baum, Lawrence . 1997. The Puzzle of Judicial Behavior. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.
Baum, Lawrence . 2006. Judges and Their Audiences: A Perspective on Judicial Behavior. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Beim, Deborah , Alexander V. Hirsch , and Jonathan P. Kastellec . 2016. “Signaling and Counter-Signaling in the Judicial Hierarchy: An Empirical Analysis of En Banc Review.” American Journal of Political Science 60: 490–508.
Beim, Deborah and Jonathan P. Kastellec . 2014. “The Interplay of Ideological Diversity, Dissents, and Discretionary Review in the Judicial Hierarchy: Evidence From Death Penalty Cases.” Journal of Politics 76: 1074–1088.
Benesh, Sara C. , Saul Brenner , and Harold J. Spaeth . 2002. “Aggressive Grants by Affirm-Minded Justices.” American Politics Research 30: 219–234.
Bergara, Mario , Barak D. Richman , and Pablo T. Spiller . 2003. “Modeling Supreme Court Strategic Decision Making: The Congressional Constraint.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 28: 247–280.
Black, Ryan C. , Rachel A. Schutte , and Timothy R. Johnson . 2013. “Trying to Get What You Want: Heresthetical Maneuvering and U.S. Supreme Court Decision Making.” Political Research Quarterly 66: 818–829.
Black, Ryan C. and Ryan J. Owens . 2009. “Agenda Setting in the Supreme Court: The Collision of Policy and Jurisprudence.” Journal of Politics 71: 1062–1075.
Black, Ryan C. and Ryan J. Owens . 2012. “Consider the Source (and the Message): Supreme Court Justices and Strategic Audits of Lower Court Decisions.” Political Research Quarterly 65: 385–395.
Black, Ryan C. and Ryan J. Owens . 2016. “Courting the President: How Circuit Court Judges Alter Their Behavior for Promotion to the Supreme Court.” American Journal of Political Science 60: 30–43.
Black, Ryan C. , Ryan J. Owens , Justin Wedeking , and Patrick C. Wohlfarth . 2016. U.S. Supreme Court Opinions and Their Audiences. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Boucher, Jr., Robert L. and Jeffrey A. Segal . 1995. “Supreme Court Justices as Strategic Decision Makers: Aggressive Grants and Defensive Denials on the Vinson Court.” Journal of Politics 57: 824–837.
Boyd, Christina L. 2015a. “Opinion Writing in the Federal District Courts.” Justice System Journal 36: 254–273.
Boyd, Christina L. 2015b. “The Hierarchical Influence of Courts of Appeals on District Courts.” Journal of Legal Studies 44: 113–141.
Braman, Eileen . 2009. Law, Politics and Perception: How Policy Preferences Influence Legal Reasoning. Charlottesville, VA: University of Virginia Press.
Caldeira, Gregory A. 1977. “Incentives of Trial Judges and the Administration of Justice.” Justice System Journal 3: 163–180.
Caldeira, Gregory A. , John R. Wright , and Christopher J. W. Zorn . 1999. “Sophisticated Voting and Gate-Keeping in the Supreme Court.” Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 15: 549–572.
Cameron, Charles M. , Jeffrey A. Segal , and Donald Songer . 2000. “Strategic Auditing in a Political Hierarchy: An Informational Model of the Supreme Court’s Certiorari Decisions.” American Political Science Review 94: 101–116.
Cardozo, Benjamin N. 1921. The Nature of the Judicial Process. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
Casillas, Christopher J. , Peter K. Enns and Patrick C. Wohlfarth . 2011. “How Public Opinion Constrains the Supreme Court.” American Journal of Political Science 55: 74–88.
Clark, Tom S. 2009a. “The Separation of Powers, Court Curbing, and Judicial Legitimacy.” American Journal of Political Science 53: 971–989.
Clark, Tom S. 2009b. “A Principal-Agent Theory of En Banc Review.” Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 25: 55–79.
Cohen, Mark A. 1991. “Explaining Judicial Behavior or What’s ‘Unconstitutional’ About the Sentencing Commission?” Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 7: 183–200.
Cooter, Robert D. 1983. “The Objectives of Private and Public Judges.” Public Choice 41: 1071–1032.
Corley, Pamela C. 2008. “The Supreme Court and Opinion Content: The Influence of Parties’ Briefs.” Political Research Quarterly 61: 468–478.
Corley Pamela C. and Justin Wedeking . 2014. “The (Dis)Advantage of Certainty: The Importance of Certainty in Language.” Law & Society Review 48: 35–62.
Cross, Frank B. and Emerson H. Tiller . 1998. “Judicial Partisanship and Obedience to Legal Doctrine: Whistleblowing on the Federal Courts of Appeals.” Yale Law Journal 107: 2155–2176.
Danziger, Shai , Jonathan Levav , and Liora Avnaim-Pesso . 2011. “Extraneous Factors in Judicial Decisions.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108: 6889–6892.
Drahozal, Christopher R. 1998. “Judicial Incentives and the Appeals Process.” SMU Law Review 51: 469–503.
Epstein, Lee (ed.). 2013. The Economics of Judicial Behaviour. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
Epstein, Lee . 2016. “Some Thoughts on the Study of Judicial Behavior.” William & Mary Law Review (George Wythe Lecture) 57: 2017–2073.
Epstein, Lee , William M. Landes , and Adam Liptak . 2015. “The Decision to Depart (or Not) from Precedent.” NYU Law Review 90: 1115–1159.
Epstein, Lee and Andrew D. Martin . 2010. “Does Public Opinion Influence the Supreme Court? Possibly Yes (But We’re Not Sure Why).” University of Pennsylvania Journal of Constitutional Law 13: 263–281.
Epstein, Lee , Andrew D. Martin , Kevin Quinn , and Jeffrey A. Segal . 2012. “Ideology and the Study of Judicial Behavior.” Ideology, Psychology, and Law, edited by Jon Hanson . Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Epstein, Lee and Jack Knight . 1998. The Choices Justices Make. Washington, DC: CQ Press.
Epstein, Lee and Jack Knight . 2000. “Toward a Strategic Revolution in Judicial Politics: A Look Back, A Look Ahead.” Political Research Quarterly 53: 625–661.
Epstein, Lee and Jack Knight . 2013. “Reconsidering Judicial Preferences.” Annual Review of Political Science 16: 19.1–19.21.
Epstein, Lee , Jack Knight , and Andrew Martin . 2001. “The Supreme Court as a Strategic National Policy Maker.” Emory Law Journal 50: 583–611.
Epstein, Lee , Jack Knight , and Olga Shvetsova . 2002. “The Role of Constitutional Courts in the Establishment and Maintenance of Democratic Systems of Government.” Law and Society Review 35: 117–164.
Epstein, Lee and Olga Shvetsova . 2002. “Heresthetical Maneuvering on the U.S. Supreme Court.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 14: 93–122.
Epstein, Lee , William M. Landes , and Richard A. Posner . 2013. The Behavior of Federal Judges. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Eskridge, William N. Jr. 1991. “Overriding Supreme Court Statutory Interpretation Decisions.” Yale Law Journal 101: 331–455.
Farhang, Sean , Jonathan P. Kastellec and Greg Wawro . 2015. “The Politics of Opinion Assignment and Authorship on the U.S. Court of Appeals: Evidence From Sexual Harassment Cases.” Journal of Legal Studies 44.S1: S59–S85.
Ferejohn, John A. and Barry R. Weingast . 1992. “A Positive Theory of Statutory Interpretation.” International Review of Law and Economics 12: 263–279.
Friedman, Barry . 2009. The Will of the People. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.
Gaille, S. Scott . 1997. “Publishing by United States Court of Appeals Judges: Before and After the Bork Hearings.” Journal of Legal Studies 26: 371–376.
Garoupa, Nuno , Fernando Gomez-Pomar , and Veronica Grembi . 2013. “Judging Under Political Pressure: An Empirical Analysis of Constitutional Review Voting in the Spanish Constitutional Court.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 29: 513–534.
Gauri, Varun , Jeffrey K. Staton , and Jorge Vargas Cullell . 2015. “The Costa Rican Supreme Court’s Compliance Monitoring System.” Journal of Politics 77: 774–786.
Gely, Rafael and Pablo T. Spiller . 1990. “A Rational Choice Theory of Supreme Court Statutory Decisions With Applications to the State Farm and Grove City Cases.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 6: 263–300.
Giles, Micheal W. , Bethany Blackstone , and Richard L. Vining . 2008. “The Supreme Court in American Democracy: Unraveling the Linkages Between Public Opinion and Judicial Decision Making.” Journal of Politics 70: 293–306.
Giles, Micheal W. , Thomas G. Walker , and Christopher Zorn . 2006. “Setting a Judicial Agenda: The Decision to Grant En Banc Review in the U.S. Courts of Appeals.” Journal of Politics 68: 852–866.
Giles, Micheal W. , Virginia A. Hettinger , Christopher Zorn , and Todd C. Peppers . 2007. “The Etiology of the Occurrence of En Banc Review in the U.S. Court of Appeals.” American Journal of Political Science 51: 449–463.
Goelzhauser, Greg . 2011. “Avoiding Constitutional Cases.” American Politics Research 39: 483–511.
Grendstad, Gunnar , William R. Shaffer , and Eric Waltenburg . 2015. Policy Making in an Independent Judiciary: The Norwegian Supreme Court. Colchester: ECPSR Press.
Gulati, Mitu and C.M.A. McCauliff . 1998. “On Not Making Law.” Law and Contemporary Problems 61: 157–228.
Guthrie, Chris , Jeffrey J. Rachlinkski , and Andrew J. Wistrich . 2001. “Inside the Judicial Mind.” Cornell Law Review 86: 777–830.
Guthrie, Chris , Jeffrey J. Rachlinkski , and Andrew J. Wistrich . 2007. “Blinking on the Bench: How Judges Decide Cases.” Cornell Law Review 93: 1–43.
Hanretty, Chris . 2012. “Dissent in Iberia: The Ideal Points of Justices on the Spanish and Portuguese Constitutional Tribunals.” European Journal of Political Research 51: 671–692.
Hansford, Thomas G. and James F. Spriggs II . 2008. The Politics of Precedent on the U.S. Supreme Court. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Harvey, Anna and Barry Friedment . 2006. “Pulling Punches: Congressional Constraints on the Supreme Court’s Constitutional Rulings, 1987–2000.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 31: 533–562.
Helmke, Gretchen . 2002. “The Logic of Strategic Defection: Court-Executive Relations in Argentina Under Dictatorship and Democracy.” American Political Science Review 96: 291–303.
Helmke, Gretchen . 2005. Courts Under Constraints: Judges, Generals, and Presidents in Argentina. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Higgins, Richard S. and Paul H. Rubin . 1980. “Judicial Discretion.” Journal of Legal Studies 9: 129–138.
Hinkle, Rachael K. 2016. “Strategic Anticipation of En Banc Review in the U.S. Courts of Appeals.” Law and Society Review 50: 383–414.
Hinkle, Rachael K. , Andrew D. Martin , Jonathan David Shaub , and Emerson H. Tiller . 2012. “A Positive Theory and Empirical Analysis of Strategic Word Choice in District Court Opinions.” Journal of Legal Analysis 10: 407–444.
Hönnige, Christoph . 2009. “The Electoral Connection: How the Pivotal Judge Affects Oppositional Success at European Constitutional Courts.” Western European Politics 32: 963–984.
Iaryczower, Matias and Gabriel Katz . 2015. “More Than Politics: Ability and Ideology in the British Appellate Committee.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 32: 61–93.
Johnson, Timothy . 2004. Oral Arguments and Decision Making on the United States Supreme Court. Albany, NY: SUNY Press.
Johnson, Timothy R. , James F. Spriggs II , and Paul J. Wahlbeck . 2005. “Passing and Strategic Voting on the U.S. Supreme Court.” Law and Society Review 39: 349–377.
Kahneman Daniel . 2011. Thinking, Fast and Slow. New York: Farrah, Straus and Giroux.
Kastellec, Jonathan P. 2007. “Panel Composition and Judicial Compliance on the U.S. Courts of Appeals.” Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 23: 421–441.
Kastellec, Jonathan P. 2011. “Hierarchical and Collegial Politics on the U.S. Courts of Appeals.” Journal of Politics 73: 345–361.
Klein, David E. 2002. Making Law in the United States Courts of Appeals. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Klein, David E. and Robert J. Hume . 2003. “Fear of Reversal as an Explanation of Lower Court Compliance.” Law and Society Review 37: 579–606.
Knight, Jack . 1992. Institutions and Social Conflict. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Knight, Jack and Lee Epstein . 1996. “The Norm of Stare Decisis.” American Journal of Political Science 40: 1018–1035.
Landsman, Stephan and Richard F. Rakos . 1994. “A Preliminary Inquiry into the Effect of Potentially Biasing Information on Judges and Jurors in Civil Litigation.” Behavioral Sciences & the Law 12: 113–126.
Lax, Jeffrey R. and Charles M. Cameron . 2007. “Bargaining and Opinion Assignment on the U.S. Supreme Court.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 23: 276–302.
Lax, Jeffrey R. and Kelly Rader . 2015. “Bargaining Power on the Supreme Court: Evidence From Opinion Assignment and Vote Switching.” Journal of Politics 77: 635–647.
Lazarus, Richard J. 2015. “‘Back to Business’ at the Supreme Court: The ‘Administrative’ Side of Chief Justice Roberts.” Harvard Law Review Forum 129: 33–93.
Lindquist, Stefanie A. , Susan B. Haire , and Donald R. Songer . 2007. “Supreme Court Auditing of the U.S. Courts of Appeals: An Organizational Perspective.” Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 17: 607–624.
Macey, Jonathan R. 1994. “Judicial Preferences, Public Choice, and the Rules of Procedure.” Journal of Legal Studies 23: 627–646.
Maltzman, Forrest , James F. Spriggs, II , and Paul J. Wahlbeck . 2000. Crafting Law on the Supreme Court: The Collegial Game. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Maltzman, Forrest and Paul J. Wahlbeck . 1996. “May It Please the Chief? Opinion Assignments in the Rehnquist Court.” American Journal of Political Science 40: 421–443.
Martin, Andrew D. and Kevin M. Quinn . 2002. “Dynamic Ideal Point Estimation via Markov Chain Monte Carlo for the U.S. Supreme Court, 1953–1999.” Political Analysis 10: 134–153.
McGuire, Kevin T. and James A. Stimson . 2004. “The Least Dangerous Branch Revisited: New Evidence on Supreme Court Responsiveness to Public Preferences.” Journal of Politics 66: 1018–1035.
McNollgast. 1995. “Politics and the Courts: A Positive Theory of Judicial Doctrine and the Rule of Law.” Southern California Law Review 68: 1631–1683.
Meernik, James and Joseph Ignagni . 1997. “Judicial Review and Coordinate Construction of the Constitution.” American Journal of Political Science 41: 447–467.
Miceli, Thomas J. and Metin M. Cosgel . 1994. “Reputation and Judicial Decision-Making.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 23: 31–51.
Mishler, William and Reginald S. Sheehan . 1996. “Public Opinion, the Attitudinal Model, and Supreme Court Decision Making: A Micro-Analytic Perspective.” Journal of Politics 58: 169–200.
Murphy, Walter F. 1964. Elements of Judicial Strategy. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Oredeshook, Peter . 1992. A Political Theory Primer. London: Routledge.
Owens, Ryan J. , Justin Wedeking , and Patrick C. Wohlfarth . 2013. “Evading Supervisory Review in the Separation of Powers: The U.S. Supreme Court and Strategic Use of Judicial Language.” Journal of Law and Courts 1: 35–59.
Perry, H.W., Jr. 1991. Deciding to Decide: Agenda Setting in the United States Supreme Court. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Posner, Richard A. 1993. “What Do Judges and Justices Maximize? (The Same Thing Everybody Else Does).” Supreme Court Economic Review 3: 1–41.
Posner, Richard A. 2008. How Judges Think. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Posner, Richard A. 2011. Economic Analysis of Law. Alphen aan den Rijn, Netherlands: Wolters Kluwer.
Posner, Richard A. 2013. Reflections on Judging. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Pritchett, C. Herman . 1941. “Divisions of Opinion Among Justices of the U.S. Supreme Court, 1939–1941.” American Political Science Review 35: 890–898.
Pritchett, C. Herman . 1948. The Roosevelt Court. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Rachlinski, Jeffrey J. , Chris Guthrie , and Andrew J. Wistrich . 2011. Probable Cause, Probability, and Hindsight. Journal of Empirical Legal Studies 8: 72–98.
Rachlinski, Jeffrey J. , Andrew J. Wistrich , and Chris Guthrie . 2015. “Can Judges Make Reliable Numeric Judgments? Distorted Damages and Skewed Sentences.” Indiana Law Journal 90: 695–739.
Rachlinski, Jeffrey J. , Sheri Lynn Johnson , Andrew J. Wistrich , and Chris Guthrie . 2009. Does Unconscious Racial Bias Affect Trial Judges? Notre Dame Law Review 84: 1195–1246.
Ramseyer J. Mark and Eric B. Rasmussen . 2001. “Why Are Japanese Judges So Conservative in Politically Charged Cases?” American Political Science Review 95: 331–344.
Randazzo, Kirk A. 2008. “Strategic Anticipation and the Hierarchy of Justice in the U.S. District Courts.” American Politics Research 36: 669–693.
Rathjen, Gregory J. and Harold J. Spaeth . 1979. “Access to the Federal Courts: An Analysis of Burger Court Policy Making.” American Journal of Political Science 23: 360–382.
Rathjen, Gregory J. and Harold J. Spaeth . 1983. “Denial of Access and Ideological Preferences.” Western Political Quarterly 36: 71–87.
Ringsmuth, Eve M. and Timothy R. Johnson . 2013. “Supreme Court Oral Arguments and Institutional Maintenance.” American Politics Research 41: 651–673.
Rosenberg, Gerald N. 1992. “Judicial Independence and the Reality of Political Power.” Review of Politics 54: 369–398.
Sala, Brian R. and James F. Spriggs, II . 2004. “Designing Tests of the Supreme Court and the Separation of Powers.” Political Research Quarterly 57: 197–208.
Salzberger, Eli and Paul Fenn . 1999. “Judicial Independence: Some Evidence From the English Court of Appeal.” Journal of Law and Economics 42: 831–847.
Schauer, Frederick . 2000. “Incentives, Reputation, and the Inglorious Determinants of Judicial Behavior.” University of Cincinnati Law Review 68: 615–636.
Segal, Jeffrey A. 1997. “Separation-of-Powers Games in the Positive Theory of Congress and Courts.” American Political Science Review 91: 28–44.
Segal, Jeffrey A. and Albert Cover . 1989. “Ideological Values and the Votes of Supreme Court Justices.” American Political Science Review 83: 557–565.
Segal, Jeffrey A. , Chad Westerland , and Stephanie Lindquist . 2011. “Congress, the Supreme Court, and Judicial Review: Testing a Constitutional Separation of Powers Model.” American Journal of Political Science 55: 89–104.
Segal, Jeffrey A. and Harold J. Spaeth . 2002. The Supreme Court and the Attitudinal Model Revisited. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Shapiro, Sidney A. and Richard E. Levy . 1995. “Judicial Incentives and Indeterminacy in Substantive Review of Administrative Decisions.” Duke Law Journal 44: 1051–1080.
Shayo, Moses and Asaf Zussman 2011. “Judicial Ingroup Bias in the Shadow of Terrorism.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 126: 1447–1484.
Shepherd, Joanna . 2011. “Measuring Maximizing Judges: Empirical Legal Studies, Public Choice Theory, and Judicial Behavior.” University of Illinois Law Review, 2011: 1753–1766.
Simon, Dan and Nicholas Scurich . 2013. “Judicial Overstating.” Chicago-Kent Law Review 88: 411–431.
Sisk, Gregory C. , Michael Heise and Andrew P. Morris . 1998. “Charting the Influences on the Judicial Mind: An Empirical Study of Judicial Reasoning.” NYU Law Review 73: 1377–1500.
Smith, Joseph L. and Emerson H. Tiller . 2002. “The Strategy of Judging: Evidence From Administrative Law.” Journal of Legal Studies 31: 61–82.
Spiller, Pablo T. and Rafael Gely . 1992. “Congressional Control or Judicial Independence: The Determinants of U.S. Supreme Court Labor-Relations Decisions, 1949–1988.” RAND Journal of Economics 23: 463–492.
Spitzer, Matt and Eric Talley . 2000. “Judicial Auditing.” Journal of Legal Studies 29: 649–683.
Spriggs, James F. II , Forrest Maltzman , and Paul J. Wahlbeck . 1999. “‘Bargaining on the U.S. Supreme Court: Justices’ Responses to Majority Opinion Drafts.” Journal of Politics 61: 485–506.
Staton, Jeffrey K. 2010. Judicial Power and Strategic Communication in Mexico. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Staton, Jeffrey K. and Georg Vanberg . 2008. “The Value of Vagueness: Delegation, Defiance, and Judicial Opinions.” American Journal of Political Science 52: 504–519.
Staudt, Nancy . 2004. Modeling Standing. New York University Law Review 79: 612–684.
Taha, Ahmed E. 2004. “Publish or Paris? Evidence of How Judges Allocate Their Time.” American Law and Economics Review 6: 1–27.
Thaler, Richard H. 2015. Misbehaving: The Making of Behavior Economics. New York: Norton.
Vanberg, Georg . 2005. The Politics of Constitutional Review in Germany. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Wahlbeck, Paul J. 2006. “Strategy and Constraints on Supreme Court Opinion Assignment.” University of Pennsylvania Law Review 154: 1729–1755.
Weinshall-Margel, Keren and John Shapard . 2011. “Overlooked Factors in the Analysis of Parole Decisions.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Science 108: E833.
Whitman, Douglas Glen . 2000. “Evolution of the Common Law and the Emergence of Compromise.” Journal of Legal Studies 29: 753–781.
Wistrich, Andrew J. , Jeffrey J. Rachlinski , and Chris Guthrie . 2015. “Heart Versus Head: Do Judges Follow the Law or Follow Their Feelings?” Texas Law Review 93: 855–923.
Search for more...
Back to top

Use of cookies on this website

We are using cookies to provide statistics that help us give you the best experience of our site. You can find out more in our Privacy Policy. By continuing to use the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies.